More predictions. European football

For the last six years, I have taken a strong interest in European football competitions. To be more precise, I have followed a few leagues, and I have documented the last six UEFA Champions League (UCL) and UEFA Europa League (UEL) competitions in a spreadsheet that contains some useless details of the participant teams. Yesterday, I was going through the files, filling up what developed in the past week (completion of the third preliminary round of both tournaments), and I realised that my favourite team this year (St Pölten, Austria) had been eliminated. This team was my favourite because it comes from a division that is not the highest in the country. For those who don't know the rule, a team in a lower division could still play in the UEFA Europa League by reaching the national Cup final; from next year onwards, such a team has to win the national Cup. Many other teams have participated being from lower divisions, sometimes a few every year. In case you're interested, FC Vaduz is the one that comes up most frequently because, being from Liechtenstein, they have to play in the Swiss League and most of the time they are in the second or third tier of the Swiss football pyramid. Incidentally, FC Vaduz was promoted to the Swiss Super League last summer and now they play in the highest tier of Swiss football; they're already out of international competition this year. Something, then, came to my attention whilst revising the files, and it is that there are teams that play 20 or so matches in Europe, reaching the finals of the UEL, usually. Let's make an account of the last six years looking at the runs of the teams in the finals of both European competitions in next table:

In the table, the teams in bold font are the winners of the competition and the numbers in brackets are the number of stages that given team had to play during the tournament. Generally, 5 stages means 13 matches, whereas 8 stages is 19 matches. In the past six years no team has played 20 matches. Generally, teams in the final of UCL are directly qualified to the proper event (Group stage) and only come from four countries. In UEL, most of the teams in the final had to play 17 games in competition; that did not happen in 2012-2013 (*That season, the team that played more matches in Europe was Fenerbahce with 18). Also, usually one team reaching the final began its participation in UCL and then was downgraded to UEL. Only three countries have been represented in the UEL finals. With all that information from the past 6 years, I suggest that this season, the finalists for UCL will be Roma (my team in Europe, this might be the year) and Manchester City (have more potential than other teams, I think), whilst Torino (bringing a 4th country into the mix, good signings) and Arsenal (from UCL, seems strong enough) will play in the UEL final. Obviously, we're just beginning the season and not only effort but luck (in the tourney's draws) will play a part in the lifting of the trophies at the beginning of next summer. Here my speculative post ends. What do you think?